Today: May 20, 2024
Today: May 20, 2024

Oil falls on prospect of higher-for-longer US rates, stronger dollar

Share This
LA Post: Oil falls on prospect of higher-for-longer US rates, stronger dollar
May 09, 2024
Laila Kearney - Reuters

By Laila Kearney

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices fell by nearly $1 a barrel on Friday as comments from U.S. central bank officials indicated higher-for-longer interest rates, which could hinder demand from the world's largest crude consumers.

Brent crude futures settled at $82.79 a barrel, down $1.09, or 1.3%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled at $78.26 a barrel, down $1.00, or 1.3%.

For the week, Brent logged a 0.2% loss, while WTI recorded a rise of 0.2%.

Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan on Friday said it was unclear whether monetary policy was tight enough to bring down inflation to the U.S. central bank's 2% goal.

Higher interest rates typically slow economic activity and weaken oil demand.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also told Reuters he thought inflation was likely to slow under current monetary policy, enabling the central bank to begin reducing its policy rate in 2024 - though perhaps by only a quarter of a percentage point and not until the final months of the year.

"The two Fed speakers certainly seemed to put the kibosh on the prospect of rate cuts," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital.

The U.S. dollar strengthened after the Fed officials' comments, making greenback-denominated commodities more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates could also dampen demand.

Oil prices were also under pressure from rising U.S. fuel inventories approaching the typically robust summer driving season, said Jim Ritterbusch of Ritterbusch and Associates.

"Given the price decline of the past month and the weaker-than-expected demand trends for U.S. gasoline and diesel, some bearish demand adjustment would appear likely," Ritterbusch said.

Next week, U.S. inflation data could influence Fed decisions on rates.

Oil drew little support from the U.S. oil rig count, which is an indicator of future supply, despite energy services firm Baker Hughes data showing the number of oil rigs fell by three to 496 this week, their lowest since November. [RIG/U]

Money managers, meanwhile, cut their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions in the week to May 7 by 56,517 contracts to 82,697, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission said.

Data on Thursday showing China imported more oil in April than the same month last year also helped keep oil prices from moving lower. China's exports and imports returned to growth in April after contracting the previous month.

The European Central Bank, meanwhile, looks increasingly likely to start cutting rates in June.

In Europe, a Ukrainian drone attack set an oil refinery in Russia's Kaluga region on fire, RIA state news agency reported on Friday, the latest salvo from Kyiv in what has become a series of tit-for-tat attacks on energy infrastructure.

Conflict in the Middle East also continues after Israeli forces bombarded areas of the southern Gaza city of Rafah on Thursday, according to Palestinian residents, after a lack of progress in the latest round of negotiations to halt hostilities in Gaza.

(Reporting by Laila Kearney; Additional reporting by Natalie Grover in London, Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Sudarshan Varadhan in Singapore; Editing by Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio, Nick Macfie and Jonathan Oatis)

Popular

Scottie Scheffler's Louisville court date postponed after arrest during PGA Championship

A Kentucky court is postponing pro golfer Scottie Scheffler’s appearance on charges he injured a police officer and disobeyed commands during the PGA Championship

Scottie Scheffler's Louisville court date postponed after arrest during PGA Championship

Everybody may love Raymond, but Ray Romano loves Peter Boyle

Ray Romano is looking back at his hit sitcom “Everybody Loves Raymond” and saluting a fellow actor for its success

Everybody may love Raymond, but Ray Romano loves Peter Boyle

Hunter Biden presses for delay in federal gun trial set to begin next month

Hunter Biden is pressing for a delay in his federal gun case, asking an appeals court to pause the Delaware trial set to begin next month

Hunter Biden presses for delay in federal gun trial set to begin next month

French sports minister calls for sanctions after Monaco player tapes over anti-homophobia badge

France’s sports minister has called for soccer club Monaco to be sanctioned after one of its players covered over an anti-homophobia message on the team’s shirt during the team’s final league game on Sunday

French sports minister calls for sanctions after Monaco player tapes over anti-homophobia badge

Related

California congressman urges closer consultation with tribes on offshore wind

California congressman urges closer consultation with tribes on offshore wind

Senate report finds parts made with China's forced labor in cars by BMW, Jaguar Land Rover and VW

Senate report finds parts made with China's forced labor in cars by BMW, Jaguar Land Rover and VW

Power conferences, NCAA to vote on landmark $2.7 billion settlement as smaller leagues balk at terms

Power conferences, NCAA to vote on landmark $2.7 billion settlement as smaller leagues balk at terms

Key Senate Democrat calls for new leadership at FDIC

Key Senate Democrat calls for new leadership at FDIC
- Advertisement -
Advertisement: Limited Time Offer